- A rally on the last trading day of November capped off a month of relief for the market in the form of easing inflation and optimism surrounding a potential slowing pace of U.S. rate hikes. The S&P 500® posted its second consecutive month of gains, with a total return of 6%. The S&P MidCap 400® and S&P SmallCap 600® were up 6% and 4%, respectively.
- All S&P 500 sectors finished higher with Materials in the lead and every reported U.S. equity factor index also rose, led by High Beta.
- Performance among commodities was mixed, with gains in Industrial and Precious Metals and declines among Livestock, Agriculture, and particularly Energy.
- Shrugging off disappointing “Big Tech” earnings and still-elevated inflation, hopes for a slowing pace of U.S. rate hikes helped the S&P 500® to its best month since July, with a total return of 8%.
- Outside the tech titans, earnings figures have been relatively encouraging and smaller companies have been riding the positive sentiment to double-digit gains. The S&P MidCap 400® and S&P SmallCap 600® were up 11% and 12%, respectively.
- Every S&P 500 sector finished higher with Energy in the lead and every reported U.S. equity factor index also rose, led by Value and Momentum.
- U.S. equities began August continuing in rebound mode but reversed course to end the month in negative territory after a hawkish Fed and recession fears weighed on investors. The S&P 500® posted a loss of 4%, while the S&P MidCap 400® and S&P SmallCap 600® performed similarly with 3% and 4% declines.
- All factor indices posted losses, with High Beta and Growth in the rear.
- Most sectors posted losses; Energy and Utilities were the exceptions.
- After a tumultuous first half of the year, U.S. equities staged a stellar comeback in July, driven by Big Tech outperformance and anticipation of a potential slowing in the pace of future rate hikes by the Fed. The S&P 500® posted a gain of 9%, while the S&P MidCap 400® and S&P SmallCap 600® performed relatively better.
- All factor indices posted gains, with High Beta and Growth in the lead.
- All sectors posted gains, with Consumer Discretionary and Info Tech in the lead.
- U.S. equities faced a challenging February, with escalating geopolitical concerns including Russia’s invasion of Ukraine along with uncertainty over the Fed’s rate hike trajectory resulting in the S&P 500® briefly trading in official correction territory. Smaller-caps outperformed, with the S&P MidCap 400® and S&P SmallCap 600® both up 1%.
- International performance was also disappointing, with the S&P Developed Ex-U.S. BMI down 1% and the S&P Emerging BMI down 3%, as swings in oil prices amid Ukraine-Russia tensions roiled markets.
- High Beta was the only factor to post a gain, with Growth in the rear.
When to claim social security benefits is one of the biggest questions when thinking about retiring. Your retirement income will likely come from various sources, and each will fit into your financial plan in different ways. Still, for most people, social security represents a risk-free source of retirement income. How do you maximize that income? It’s a delicate balance.
Social Security Basics
You can receive social security if you are age 62 or older and have enough work credits. You are eligible if you have 40 quarters of work history. The amount you receive is based on your lifetime earnings. Social security calculates your benefit using the 35 years you earned the most. The calculation will include zeros if you don’t have 35 years of work history. You can find out if you’ve already qualified by going to www.ssa.gov. You can set up an account, get estimates of your benefits, and review your work history to ensure it’s correct.
The Social Security Administration (SSA) defines retirement benefits as Early, Full and Late. The SSA’s goal is to make social security flexible enough to work for people in different situations and be as equal as possible. Full retirement age is the benchmark for benefits. If you retire before full retirement age, monthly benefits will be lower to equalize the longer amount of time they will be paid out. People who delay retirement receive higher monthly benefits.
Early retirement begins at age 62. Social security has a formula to reduce your benefits if you claim early retirement. It depends on how many months you claim before your full retirement age. For example, someone with a full retirement age of 67 who retires at 62 will see benefits reduced by 30% for the entire time they claim benefits.
Full retirement age (FRA) depends on your birth year. For most people, it’s somewhere between 65-67. This is the age at which you qualify for full benefits.
Late retirement kicks in after your FRA and extends to age 70. For every year that you delay benefits after your FRA, you get an 8% increase in your benefits for life.
The Spousal Option
When it comes to claiming social security, it’s not always just about your working life. Claims may be made on personal work history or a spouse’s work record. If the marriage lasted at least ten years, a claim can also be made on an ex-spouse’s work record. The spousal benefit amount can be up to 50% of the higher earner’s benefits. The same rules on retirement age apply.
The spousal option also applies to surviving spouses, but the eligibility age is reduced to 60. Reduced benefits will still apply.
Claiming Strategies for Married Couples
The decision of when to claim is unique to everyone and should be made by thinking through other sources of income, level of health, family history, and overall retirement goals. Delaying the claim will result in higher monthly payments, but it shouldn’t be the only consideration.
It’s a bit more complicated for married couples as each will likely have a different FRA and a different benefit amount. Making use of these differences to maximize the benefit can make sense. For example, claiming early or at FRA for the lower-earning spouse and delaying the higher-earning spouse’s benefits can result in significantly more income.
Taxes on Social Security Income
Depending on the tax status of other retirement income, up to 85% of social security benefits can be taxable. Income from pensions, interest, dividends, withdrawals from tax-deferred accounts, and other sources of income can all create a tax liability on social security income.
How you structure your overall retirement plan can help avoid these taxes. Whether taxable, tax-deferred, or tax-free, the types of accounts that assets are held in can create a more flexible income stream. Using a Roth conversion to avoid required minimum distributions is another strategy that can be deployed to keep income lower.
The Bottom Line
Social security is a benefit not only in the income it provides – which can add up to more than $1 million over retirement for a couple that claims at FRA – but it can also be a source of guaranteed income that can anchor an investment plan.
Looking at all your assets, understanding your risk tolerance, and having a sense of your goals and how you want to achieve them can help you make the right decision when it comes to claiming the benefits you worked for over the years.
- Anxiety about impending rate hikes as well as a tapering in asset purchases by the Fed to combat inflation led to the worst monthly performance for U.S. equities since March 2020, with the S&P 500® down 5% in January. Smaller caps performed even worse.
- International performance was also disappointing, with the S&P Developed Ex-U.S. BMI down 5%. The S&P Emerging BMI, down 1%, fared slightly better, aided by strong performance in Latin America, although headwinds included Ukraine-Russia tensions as well as the Fed’s hawkish stance.
- Given the risk-off sentiment, Dividend and Value strategies led. Growth was the laggard, down 8%.
This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of stock and bond asset classes in the US and international markets.
The report also illustrates the impact of globally diversified portfolios and features a quarterly topic. “All-Time High Anxiety”.
Click HERE to download a full copy of the report.Q4 quarterly-market-review
- Despite the ongoing pandemic, record inflation, and looming rate hikes, U.S. equities had a banner year, with the S&P 500® reaching 70 closing highs on its way to a 29% return. Mega-caps outperformed, with the S&P 500 Top 50 up 31%.
- International performance was positive, with the S&P Developed Ex-U.S. BMI up 11%. Emerging markets managed to eke out a gain, with the S&P Emerging BMI up 1% despite large losses in the S&P China BMI, which makes up almost 40% of the benchmark’s weight.
- All sectors posted gains in 2021, led by Energy, up a dramatic 55%, a stunning turnaround after its 34% loss in 2020.
December 2021 Market Review
- It was not entirely smooth sailing for U.S. equities in November, as concerns about the Omicron strain coupled with less-than-transitory inflation and accelerated tapering by the Fed roiled markets during the last three days of the month. The S&P 500® posted a loss of 1%, outperforming mid and small caps, as the S&P MidCap 400® and S&P SmallCap 600® declined 3% and 2%, respectively. Volatility spiked, as the VIX® closed at 27.19.
- Growth led among factors, followed by a number of defensive strategies, including Quality, Low Volatility, and Dividend Aristocrats.
- Among sectors, IT led, followed by Consumer Discretionary, while Financials lagged.